Introduction to Inferential Statistics

online course

Learn fundamental inferential statistical techniques in political science research to critically evaluate findings, conduct your research, and interpret statistical results effectively.

Need to Know

There is no prerequisite knowledge for this course beyond basic addition, subtraction, division and multiplication.

Each course includes pre-course assignments, including readings and pre-recorded videos, as well as daily live lectures totalling at least three hours. The instructor will conduct live Q&A sessions and offer designated office hours for one-to-one consultations.

In Depth - Key topics covered

Day 1
Beginning with building blocks of statistical inference, you will discuss the relationship between populations and samples, measurements and scale, types of variables, basic distributions (with a focus on the normal distribution), as well as measures of central tendency (mean, median, mode) and variability (range, variance and standard deviation).

Day 2
We focus on the normal distribution and the relationship between samples and populations, delving into the specifics of standardised scores and probability.

Day 3
You will explore the logic of hypothesis testing. You will learn how to formulate and test simple hypotheses, touching on uncertainty and errors in testing.

Day 4
In this session, you will progress onto more complex hypothesis testing (t test) and explore comparisons to a given standard, comparisons between groups, and changes over time.

Day 5
You will learn how to test hypotheses using chi-square tests. We will also discuss the concept of effect size and the importance of power analysis in statistical inference.

How the course will work online

The course is delivered using a combination of pre-class activities, live online interaction and post-class activities. Before the course week, you will have access to readings and pre-recorded lectures which explain and clarify course material.

Daily three-hour live sessions (on Zoom) will feature class discussions, Q&A, group exercises and tutorials on the application of statistical methods. Freely available software such as web apps and spreadsheets will be used.

Post-class activities include exercises to practice course material. The Instructor will be available for individual consultations to answer queries, discuss research applications, and to offer additional support and explanations.

Course leader

Cristina Mitrea is currently postdoctoral researcher at the Babeș-Bolyai University in Cluj, Romania. She earned her PhD in comparative politics at the Central European University.

Target group

Demanding audience, including researchers, professional analysts, and advanced students, who already have a basic understanding of quantitative methods.

Course aim

This course aims to provide you with the foundational knowledge and skills required to analyse quantitative data in political science research. You will cover the basics of statistical inference, including probability theory, hypothesis testing, and confidence intervals. The instructor will also focus on the most commonly used statistical techniques, such as regression analysis and experimental designs.

The course will include both lectures and practical exercises, where you will learn how to perform statistical analyses. Additionally, you will learn about the strengths and limitations of different methods, and how to interpret and report statistical results in a meaningful way.

By the end of this course, you will have a solid understanding of the main concepts and methods used in quantitative political science research. You will be able to critically evaluate research findings, design and conduct your own research, and interpret and report statistical results.

Credits info

4 EC
You can earn up to four credits for attending this course.
3 ECTS credits – Attend 100% of live sessions and engage fully with class activities.
4 ECTS credits – Attend 100% of live sessions, engage fully with class activities and complete a post-class assignment.

Fee info

GBP 492: ECPR member - check whether your institution is a member here: https://ecpr.eu/Membership/CurrentMembers
GBP 985: ECPR non-member

Scholarships

Funding applications for the 2024 ECPR Methods School summer programme are now opening for applications. Apply before mid-April 2024. For more details on funding opportunities for ECPR's other events, please visit https://ecpr.eu/Funding/Funding